Superliga · Regular Season - 12
AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
AC Horsens host Sonderjyske on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: AC Horsens 36%, draw 29%, Sonderjyske 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AC Horsens €375K, Sonderjyske €659K.
- Home advantage makes AC Horsens the favourite here: it adds 5 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. AC Horsens goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: AC Horsens 1587 · Sonderjyske 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
AC Horsens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1675
Sonderjyske · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1718
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AC Horsens
6th in Superliga · 13 pts from 11
- 16 OctDRanders FC Denmark Superliga1553
- 11 OctDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1597
- 20 SepDAarhus Denmark Superliga1627
- 11 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1591
- 6 SepWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1535
Sonderjyske
11th in Superliga · 8 pts from 11
- 18 OctWSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1600
- 12 OctLAarhus Denmark Superliga1624
- 20 SepWRanders FC Denmark Superliga1554
- 13 SepDLyngby Denmark Superliga1538
- 6 SepLAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1586
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Horsens | 13 /11 | 24.1 | 0% | 2% | 33% | 8th |
| Sonderjyske | 8 /11 | 20.7 | 0% | <1% | 67% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –