Superliga · Regular Season - 11
AC Horsens 0–0 Randers FC
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · CASA Arena, Horsens
AC HorsensTeam 1591
Randers FCTeam 1653We gave AC Horsens 36% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 22'Laurits Pedersen –
Randers FC:Laurits Pedersen – - Adam Herdonsson –41'
AC Horsens:Adam Herdonsson – - 45'Axel Henriksson –
Randers FC:Axel Henriksson – - Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan – for Kingsley Bimpong45'
AC Horsens:Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan – for Kingsley Bimpong - Abdul Moro – for Adam Herdonsson –45'
AC Horsens:Abdul Moro – for Adam Herdonsson – - 45'Martin André Sjølstad – for Kasper Junker –
Randers FC:Martin André Sjølstad – for Kasper Junker – - 45+1'Mike Themsen –
Randers FC:Mike Themsen – - 51'Mohamed Sankoh – (penalty missed)
Randers FC:Mohamed Sankoh – (penalty missed) - Julius Madsen – for Jimi Tauriainen –67'
AC Horsens:Julius Madsen – for Jimi Tauriainen – - 67'Amady Camara – for Mohamed Sankoh –
Randers FC:Amady Camara – for Mohamed Sankoh – - 71'Sabil Osman Hansen –
Randers FC:Sabil Osman Hansen – - 77'Oliver Jones – for Nikolas Langberg Dyhr –
Randers FC:Oliver Jones – for Nikolas Langberg Dyhr – - 77'Hector Lux – for Mike Themsen –
Randers FC:Hector Lux – for Mike Themsen – - Yamirou Ouorou – for Karlo Lusavec –80'
AC Horsens:Yamirou Ouorou – for Karlo Lusavec –
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(AC Horsens · draw · Randers FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: AC Horsens €477K, Randers FC €810K.
- Home advantage made AC Horsens the favourite: it added 5 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
AC Horsens
6th in Superliga · 12 pts from 10
- 11 OctDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1597
- 20 SepDAarhus Denmark Superliga1627
- 11 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1591
- 6 SepWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1535
- 28 AugLViborg Denmark Superliga1564
Randers FC
8th in Superliga · 10 pts from 10
- 11 OctLViborg Denmark Superliga1700
- 20 SepLSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1647
- 13 SepLOdense Denmark Superliga1682
- 6 SepWBrondby Denmark Superliga1630
- 30 AugWAarhus Denmark Superliga1586
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Horsens | 12 /10 | 24.7 | 0% | 2% | 28% | 8th |
| Randers FC | 10 /10 | 24.1 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

AC Horsens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1676

Randers FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1663
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile