Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Abu Qair Semad host Ghazl El Mehalla on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Abu Qair Semad 30%, draw 29%, Ghazl El Mehalla 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Abu Qair Semad €99K, Ghazl El Mehalla €161K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Abu Qair Semad goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–08%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Abu Qair Semad 1078 · Ghazl El Mehalla 1187
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Abu Qair Semad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1217
Ghazl El Mehalla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1233
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Abu Qair Semad
18th in Premier League · 3 pts from 6
- 13 OctLAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1077
- 15 SepLAl Ahly Egyptian Premier League1081
- 8 SepLZamalek SC Egyptian Premier League1086
- 2 SepLAl Ittihad Egyptian Premier League1023
- 27 AugLPyramids FC Egyptian Premier League1087
Ghazl El Mehalla
20th in Premier League · 1 pts from 6
- 12 OctLSmouha SC Egyptian Premier League1178
- 16 SepLZamalek SC Egyptian Premier League1200
- 7 SepLNational Bank of Egypt Egyptian Premier League1203
- 27 AugLFuture FC Egyptian Premier League1213
- 22 AugLPyramids FC Egyptian Premier League1252
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | 3 /6 | 14.9 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 20th |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 /6 | 16.0 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.