Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Abha vs Al Shabab
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Abha host Al Shabab on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Abha 24%, draw 27%, Al Shabab 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Abha €691K, Al Shabab €1.7M.
- Abha's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Abha goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Abha 1707 · Al Shabab 1895
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Abha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1780
Al Shabab · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1991
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Abha
18th in Saudi Pro League · 2 pts from 8
- 16 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1660
- 13 SepDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1680
- 9 SepLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1686
- 4 SepLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1656
- 28 AugLAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1679
Al Shabab
11th in Saudi Pro League · 11 pts from 10
- 22 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1878
- 19 OctDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1851
- 11 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1839
- 12 SepDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1846
- 9 SepLAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1880
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 2 /8 | 24.2 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 18th |
| Al Shabab | 11 /10 | 40.8 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Abha: direct · low-volume (how Damir Burić plays) · Al Shabab: balanced profile (how Thomas Letsch plays)