Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Abha vs Al Kholood
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 15:20 UTC · Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium, Khamis Mushait
Abha vs Al Kholood (Pro League) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: Abha €666K, Al Kholood €829K.
- Home advantage makes Abha the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance; Saudi Pro League has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Saudi Pro League): Abha rank #19 of 19, Al Kholood #1.
- Abha's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.7 over 180 days.
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(Abha · draw · Al Kholood)
Team Elo: Abha 1710 · Al Kholood 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Abha
18th in Saudi Pro League · 2 pts from 8
- 16 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1660
- 13 SepDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1680
- 9 SepLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1686
- 4 SepLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1656
- 28 AugLAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1679
Al Kholood
9th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 9
- 15 OctLAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1764
- 9 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1682
- 13 SepLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1835
- 9 SepWAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1766
- 3 SepDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1828
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 2 /8 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 18th |
| Al Kholood | 12 /9 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Abha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1780
Al Kholood · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1849
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Abha: direct · low-volume (how Damir Burić plays) · Al Kholood: dribble-heavy · direct (how Desmond Buckingham plays)