Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 13:45 UTC · Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Abha host Al-Ittihad FC on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Abha 15%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Abha €666K, Al-Ittihad FC €4.5M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Saudi Pro League): Abha rank #19 of 19, Al-Ittihad FC #2.
- Abha's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.7 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Abha goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Abha 1710 · Al-Ittihad FC 2060
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Abha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1780
Al-Ittihad FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2071
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Abha
18th in Saudi Pro League · 2 pts from 8
- 16 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1660
- 13 SepDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1680
- 9 SepLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1686
- 4 SepLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1656
- 28 AugLAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1679
Al-Ittihad FC
4th in Saudi Pro League · 17 pts from 8
- 13 OctLShabab Al Ahli Dubai AFC Champions League2086
- 10 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League2085
- 11 SepWAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League2091
- 8 SepWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League2053
- 5 SepWAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1999
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | 2 /8 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 65% | 18th |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 17 /8 | 61.3 | <1% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Abha: direct · low-volume (how Damir Burić plays) · Al-Ittihad FC: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Jens Wissing plays)