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Premiership · Regular Season - 8

Aberdeen 0–1 ST Johnstone

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen crestAberdeenTeam 1704
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
ST Johnstone crestST JohnstoneTeam 1571

Match story

Aberdeen · draw · ST Johnstone

Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 20%

Live chances: Aberdeen 0%, draw 5%, ST Johnstone 95% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 54%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone 20%2' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone 20%3' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%4' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%5' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%6' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%7' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 53%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%8' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 52%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%9' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 52%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 20%10' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 52%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 20%11' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 52%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 20%12' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 52%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 20%13' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 51%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 20%14' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 51%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 20%15' · 0–0 · Aberdeen 51%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 20%16' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 30%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 42%17' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 30%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 42%18' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 30%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 43%19' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 30%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 43%20' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 29%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 43%21' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 29%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 43%22' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 28%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 44%23' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 28%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 44%24' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 28%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 44%26' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 27%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 45%27' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 27%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 45%28' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 26%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 45%29' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 26%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 46%30' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 26%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 46%31' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 25%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 46%32' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 25%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 46%33' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 25%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 47%34' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 24%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 47%35' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 24%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 47%36' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 23%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 48%37' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 23%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 48%38' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 23%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 48%40' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 22%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 49%41' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 21%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 50%42' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 21%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 50%43' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 21%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 50%44' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 20%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 51%45' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 20%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 51%45+1' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 19%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 51%45+2' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 19%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%45+3' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 19%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%45+4' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%45+5' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%45+6' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%HT · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 52%47' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 53%48' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 18%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 53%49' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 17%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 54%50' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 17%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 54%51' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 16%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 55%52' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 16%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 55%53' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 15%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 56%54' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 15%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 57%55' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 14%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 57%56' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 14%, draw 29%, ST Johnstone 58%57' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 13%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 58%58' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 13%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 59%59' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 12%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 60%60' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 12%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 60%61' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 11%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 61%62' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 11%, draw 28%, ST Johnstone 62%63' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 10%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 62%64' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 10%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 63%65' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 10%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone 64%67' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 9%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone 65%68' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 8%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone 66%69' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 8%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone 66%70' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 7%, draw 25%, ST Johnstone 67%71' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 7%, draw 25%, ST Johnstone 68%72' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 7%, draw 25%, ST Johnstone 69%73' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 6%, draw 24%, ST Johnstone 70%74' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 6%, draw 24%, ST Johnstone 70%75' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 5%, draw 23%, ST Johnstone 71%76' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 5%, draw 23%, ST Johnstone 72%77' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 5%, draw 22%, ST Johnstone 73%78' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 4%, draw 22%, ST Johnstone 74%79' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 4%, draw 21%, ST Johnstone 75%80' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 4%, draw 20%, ST Johnstone 76%81' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 3%, draw 20%, ST Johnstone 77%82' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 3%, draw 19%, ST Johnstone 78%83' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 3%, draw 18%, ST Johnstone 79%84' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 2%, draw 17%, ST Johnstone 80%85' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 2%, draw 16%, ST Johnstone 82%86' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 2%, draw 15%, ST Johnstone 83%87' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 1%, draw 15%, ST Johnstone 84%88' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 1%, draw 13%, ST Johnstone 85%89' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 1%, draw 12%, ST Johnstone 87%90' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 1%, draw 11%, ST Johnstone 88%90+1' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 1%, draw 10%, ST Johnstone 90%90+2' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 0%, draw 8%, ST Johnstone 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 0%, draw 6%, ST Johnstone 93%90+4' · 0–1 · Aberdeen 0%, draw 5%, ST Johnstone 95%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 5% · 95%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Aberdeen 54% to win: ST Johnstone won.

  1. 14'ST Johnstone:Josh Fowler 1530 +33* (pen.)
  2. 35'Aberdeen:Lewis Smith 1470 −8* for Ayoub Mouloua 1404 −8*
  3. 58'ST Johnstone:Joel Cotterill 1654 +25* for Ruari Paton 1661 +13*
  4. 59'Aberdeen:Tony Yogane 1701 −8* for Findlay Marshall 1450 −8*
  5. 59'Aberdeen:Stuart Armstrong 1664 −14* for Connor Patrick Ronan 1836 −30*
  6. 67'ST Johnstone:Taylor Steven 1509 +25* for Matty Todd 1498 +29*
  7. 68'Aberdeen:Hicham Mahou 1817 −11* for Nesta Guinness-Walker 1677 −8*
  8. 78'ST Johnstone:Josh Campbell 1869 −6* for Sam Stanton 1524 +115*
  9. 78'ST Johnstone:Jamie Gullan 1585 −3* for Josh Fowler 1530 +33*
  10. 90'Aberdeen:Afeez Aremu Olalekan 1727 −8* for Christopher Cadden 1785 −33*
  11. 90+1'ST Johnstone:Božo Mikulić 1529 −9* for Daniel Finlayson 1662 +97*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Müller1823−20*
DC. Cadden1785−33*
DJ. Milne1729−16*
DM. Knoester1779−29*
DG. Molloy1782−15*
DN. Guinness-Walker1677−8*
MB. Lyons1626−9*
MF. Marshall1450−8*
MC. Ronan1836−30*
FA. Mouloua1404−8*
FK. Nisbet1788−18*
CS. Robinson1657−8*
GT. Steward1737+75*
DL. Smith1631+27*
DD. Finlayson1662+97*
DM. Foulds1620+29*
DE. Alıç1815+11*
MR. McAlear1669+26*
MJ. Holt1685+18*
MM. Todd1498+29*
MR. Paton1661+13*
MS. Stanton1524+115*
FJ. Fowler1530+33*
CS. Valakari1768+39*
Before kick-off: 54% · 26% · 20%(Aberdeen · draw · ST Johnstone)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Aberdeen €581K, ST Johnstone €286K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Aberdeen

8th in Premiership · 8 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDHibernian 1737
  • 15 SepWMotherwell 1685
  • 5 SepDKilmarnock 1664
  • 2 SepLCeltic 1685
  • 30 AugLRangers 1710

ST Johnstone

7th in Premiership · 8 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDFalkirk 1664
  • 9 SepLCeltic 1645
  • 6 SepWHibernian 1569
  • 2 SepDDundee 1579
  • 29 AugLHeart Of Midlothian 1573

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Aberdeen8 /745.20%31%6%4th
ST Johnstone8 /737.60%5%34%9th
Aberdeen
ST Johnstone

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Guinness-Walker
N. Guinness-Walker

Aberdeen · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1685

J. Holt
J. Holt

ST Johnstone · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1667

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stephen Robinson

Coach DNA: direct

Simo Johannes Valakari

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Aberdeen: balanced profile (how Stephen Robinson plays) · ST Johnstone: low-volume (how Simo Johannes Valakari plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.