Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Aberdeen vs Falkirk
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Aberdeen host Falkirk on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aberdeen 54%, draw 25%, Falkirk 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aberdeen €579K, Falkirk €379K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aberdeen goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
Team Elo: Aberdeen 1712 · Falkirk 1579
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aberdeen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1716
Falkirk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1655
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aberdeen
7th in Premiership · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1733
- 11 OctLST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1707
- 19 SepDHibernian Scotland Premiership1737
- 15 SepWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1685
- 5 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1664
Falkirk
9th in Premiership · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWHibernian Scotland Premiership1586
- 10 OctLDundee Scotland Premiership1621
- 19 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1611
- 15 SepWHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1584
- 5 SepDDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1579
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 11 /9 | 43.2 | 0% | 28% | 11% | 4th |
| Falkirk | 9 /9 | 33.8 | 0% | 2% | 64% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aberdeen: balanced profile (how Stephen Robinson plays) · Falkirk: balanced profile (how John McGlynn plays)