Primera División · Apertura - 22
ABB 0–1 Real Potosí
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
ABBTeam 1275Real PotosíTeam 1398- Imanol Cárdenas 10'
We gave Real Potosí 39% to win: they did.
- 10'Imanol Cárdenas – assist Williams Wallas Fernandez Von Boeck –Real Potosí:Imanol Cárdenas – assist Williams Wallas Fernandez Von Boeck –
- Denilson Valda –16'ABB:Denilson Valda –
- J. Briceno – for Jean Riascos –45'ABB:J. Briceno – for Jean Riascos –
- B. Espinoza – for Gary Rea Mendieta –45'ABB:B. Espinoza – for Gary Rea Mendieta –
- Layonel Figueroa –45+3'ABB:Layonel Figueroa –
- Gary Rea Mendieta –47'ABB:Gary Rea Mendieta –
- 51'Edgar Daniel Cuellar Montero – for Williams Wallas Fernandez Von Boeck –Real Potosí:Edgar Daniel Cuellar Montero – for Williams Wallas Fernandez Von Boeck –
- R. Perozo – for Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego –64'ABB:R. Perozo – for Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego –
- 65'Jeferson Rivas Tirado – for Luis Alí –Real Potosí:Jeferson Rivas Tirado – for Luis Alí –
- 65'J. Thomas – for Imanol Cárdenas –Real Potosí:J. Thomas – for Imanol Cárdenas –
- Alejandro Bejarano –71'ABB:Alejandro Bejarano –
- Jairo Diego Rojas Montaño – for Adriel Guillermo –73'ABB:Jairo Diego Rojas Montaño – for Adriel Guillermo –
- 81'Renan Wilder Terrazas Soliz – for Hugo Rojas –Real Potosí:Renan Wilder Terrazas Soliz – for Hugo Rojas –
- 81'Igor Soares – for Lucas Cristian Giménez –Real Potosí:Igor Soares – for Lucas Cristian Giménez –
- Omar Preciado –90+1'ABB:Omar Preciado –
- Augusto Seimandi –90+2'ABB:Augusto Seimandi –
- 90+3'Igor Soares –Real Potosí:Igor Soares –
Before kick-off (provisional): 32% · 29% · 39%(ABB · draw · Real Potosí)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ABB €138K, Real Potosí €176K.
- ABB's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
- Real Potosí were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ABB
13th in Primera División · 20 pts from 21
- 10 OctLOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1294
- 15 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1300
- 12 SepLBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1296
- 4 SepWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1285
- 28 AugLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1276
Real Potosí
4th in Primera División · 35 pts from 21
- 11 OctWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 15 SepWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 12 SepWOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1302
- 5 SepDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1341
- 16 AugDAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1344
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB | 20 /21 | 27.9 | 0% | 0% | 45% | 13th |
| Real Potosí | 35 /21 | 44.5 | 0% | 51% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ABB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1368
Real Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1365
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –