Primera División · Apertura - 26
ABB vs Aurora
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 21:15 UTC
ABB host Aurora on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ABB 29%, draw 29%, Aurora 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ABB €132K, Aurora €163K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ABB goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–26%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: ABB 1260 · Aurora 1422
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ABB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1247
Aurora · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1354
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ABB
16th in Primera División · 20 pts from 25
- 7 NovLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1268
- 31 OctLSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1267
- 24 OctLIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1262
- 16 OctLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1255
- 10 OctLOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1283
Aurora
6th in Primera División · 36 pts from 25
- 10 NovDUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1386
- 31 OctDOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1430
- 25 OctWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1462
- 17 OctLReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1419
- 11 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1440
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB | 20 /25 | 23.7 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 16th |
| Aurora | 36 /25 | 40.7 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ABB: balanced profile (how Walter Flores plays) · Aurora: balanced profile (how David Diaz plays)