Superliga · Regular Season - 14
Aarhus vs AC Horsens
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Aarhus host AC Horsens on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aarhus 56%, draw 25%, AC Horsens 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aarhus €1.4M, AC Horsens €377K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aarhus goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Aarhus 1765 · AC Horsens 1575
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aarhus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1879
AC Horsens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1675
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aarhus
10th in Superliga · 9 pts from 11
- 22 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Conference League1750
- 18 OctDFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1765
- 15 OctLGent UEFA Conference League1687
- 12 OctWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1767
- 20 SepDAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1753
AC Horsens
6th in Superliga · 13 pts from 11
- 16 OctDRanders FC Denmark Superliga1553
- 11 OctDSilkeborg Denmark Superliga1597
- 20 SepDAarhus Denmark Superliga1627
- 11 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1591
- 6 SepWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1535
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 9 /11 | 25.1 | 0% | 3% | 20% | 7th |
| AC Horsens | 13 /11 | 23.7 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –