1. Division · Regular Season - 13
Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Jysk Park, Silkeborg
Aarhus Fremad host Hillerød on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (1. Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aarhus Fremad 32%, draw 29%, Hillerød 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aarhus Fremad €273K, Hillerød €256K.
- M. Kirchheiner, Marcus Kirchheiner, K. Andersen, M. Kaastrup, F. Grube, B. Rolland, E. Caspersen Egerton and A. Pisani (Aarhus Fremad) have not played for over 90 days.
- A. Kappenberger, J. Witt, William Glindtvad, M. Mouritz, N. Schmidt, F. Heiselberg, T. Arndal, S. Jalaei, Sebastian Larsen and G. Arndal-Lauritzen (Hillerød) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aarhus Fremad goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Aarhus Fremad 1325 · Hillerød 1437
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Aarhus Fremad from last season's line-ups (latest 6 April 2026); Hillerød from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aarhus Fremad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1693
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aarhus Fremad
5th in 1. Division · 15 pts from 12
- 6 AprLHB Koge Denmark 1. Division1364
- 14 MarDAC Horsens Denmark 1. Division1378
- 6 MarWAalborg Denmark 1. Division1361
- 28 FebWMiddelfart Denmark 1. Division1340
- 23 NovDHB Koge Denmark 1. Division1364
Hillerød
9th in 1. Division · 12 pts from 12
- 1 AugLEsbjerg Denmark 1. Division1456
- 3 MayWLyngby Denmark 1. Division1446
- 3 AprDHvidovre Denmark 1. Division1447
- 15 MarDEsbjerg Denmark 1. Division1425
- 7 MarLB 93 Denmark 1. Division1455
Season outlook
From the 1. Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 15 /12 | 26.9 | <1% | 13% | 22% | 7th |
| Hillerød | 12 /12 | 26.6 | 0% | 12% | 23% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –