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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23

Aalesund 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Color Line Stadion, Ålesund

Aalesund crestAalesundTeam 1491
2–4
Full time
HT 0–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF crestSarpsborg 08 FFTeam 1644

Match story

Aalesund · draw · Sarpsborg 08 FF

Before kick-off: 26% · 27% · 47%

Live chances: Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Aalesund 26%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%2' · 0–0 · Aalesund 26%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%3' · 0–0 · Aalesund 26%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%4' · 0–0 · Aalesund 26%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%5' · 0–1 · Aalesund 13%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%6' · 0–1 · Aalesund 13%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%7' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%8' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%9' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%10' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%11' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%12' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%13' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%14' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%15' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%16' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 68%17' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%18' · 0–1 · Aalesund 12%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%20' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%21' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%22' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%23' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%24' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%25' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%26' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%27' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%28' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%29' · 0–1 · Aalesund 11%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%30' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%31' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%32' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%33' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 69%34' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%35' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 20%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%36' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%37' · 0–1 · Aalesund 10%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%38' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%39' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%40' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%41' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%42' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%43' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 70%44' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%45' · 0–1 · Aalesund 9%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%45+1' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%45+2' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%45+3' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%HT · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%46' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%47' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 71%48' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%49' · 0–1 · Aalesund 8%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%50' · 0–1 · Aalesund 7%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%51' · 0–1 · Aalesund 7%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 72%52' · 0–2 · Aalesund 1%, draw 5%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 94%53' · 0–2 · Aalesund 1%, draw 5%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 94%54' · 0–2 · Aalesund 1%, draw 5%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 95%55' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%56' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%57' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%58' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%59' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%60' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%62' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%63' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%64' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%65' · 0–3 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%66' · 0–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%67' · 0–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%68' · 0–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%69' · 0–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%70' · 0–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%71' · 1–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%72' · 1–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%73' · 1–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%74' · 1–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%75' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 2%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 98%76' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 2%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 98%77' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 2%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 98%78' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 2%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 98%79' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 98%80' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%81' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%82' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%83' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%84' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%85' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%86' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%87' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 1%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%88' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 99%89' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+1' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+2' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+3' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+4' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+5' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+6' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+7' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%90+8' · 2–4 · Aalesund 0%, draw 0%, Sarpsborg 08 FF 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sarpsborg 08 FF 47% to win: they did.

  1. 5'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Eirik Wichne 1654 +29* assist Sander Johan Christiansen 1731 +24*
  2. 9'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Bjorn Utvik 1724 +1*
  3. 40'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Sigurd Rosted 1763 −4*
  4. 51'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Sondre Sorlie 1717 +23* assist Noa Williams 1611 +37*
  5. 54'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Noa Williams 1611 +37*
  6. 62'Aalesund:Sander Erik Kartum 1608 −12* for Endre Osenbroch 1531 −8*
  7. 62'Aalesund:Elias Heggland Myrlid 1145 −8* for Isak Gabriel Skotheim 1413 −8*
  8. 65'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Olaus Jair Skarsem 1669 +23* (pen.)
  9. 68'Aalesund:Philip Sandvik Aukland 1202 −8* for Mbacke Diop 1628 −12*
  10. 70'Aalesund:Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 1678 −35* assist Marcus Reed 1474 −8*
  11. 71'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Aimar Sher 1668 −4* for Olaus Jair Skarsem 1669 +23*
  12. 71'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Marius Lode 1432 −7* for Sigurd Rosted 1763 −4*
  13. 72'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Victor Emanuel Halvorsen 1436 −2* for Andreas Hansen 1686 +3*
  14. 74'Aalesund:Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 1678 −35* assist Marcus Reed 1474 −8*
  15. 78'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Anders Hiim 1684 −6* for Eirik Wichne 1654 +29*
  16. 78'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Claus Babo Niyukuri 1623 −6* for Noa Williams 1611 +37*
  17. 80'Aalesund:Ólafur Gudmundsson 1472 −8*
  18. 83'Aalesund:Paul Ngongo 1529 −8* for Marcus Reed 1474 −8*
  19. 83'Aalesund:Jakob Nyland Örsahl 1270 −8* for Philip Sandvik Aukland 1202 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations4-4-2
GLuca Podlech1598−11*
DK. Nessø1305−13*
DE. Engqvist1367−8*
DD. Mbacke1628−12*
DÓ. Guðmundsson1472−8*
DU. Charles1649−15*
MM. Christensen1641−20*
ME. Hagen1678−35*
ME. Osenbroch1531−8*
FI. Skotheim1413−8*
FH. M. Reed1474−8*
CK. Rekdal1666−24*
GL. Øy1450+77*
DE. Wichne1654+29*
DB. Utvik1724+1*
DS. Rosted1763−4*
DP. Reinhardsen1618+9*
MS. Sørli1717+23*
MS. Christiansen1731+24*
MN. Williams1611+37*
MO. Skarsem1669+23*
FD. Karlsbakk1695+5*
FA. Nibe1686+3*
CE. Sel1536+36*
Before kick-off: 26% · 27% · 47%(Aalesund · draw · Sarpsborg 08 FF)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–4 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Aalesund €407K, Sarpsborg 08 FF €677K.
  • Aalesund were without 1 expected starter: M. Andresen (1505).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Aalesund

14th in Eliteserien · 21 pts from 21

  • 19 SepWMolde 1514
  • 13 SepLKFUM Oslo 1527
  • 4 SepWStart 1504
  • 30 AugLViking 1505
  • 16 AugDValerenga 1495

Sarpsborg 08 FF

9th in Eliteserien · 25 pts from 21

  • 18 SepLKFUM Oslo 1622
  • 13 SepDFredrikstad 1623
  • 6 SepDValerenga 1603
  • 30 AugDTromso 1656
  • 16 AugLSandefjord 1659

Season outlook

From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Aalesund21 /2130.20%0%50%14th
Sarpsborg 08 FF25 /2137.10%<1%3%9th
Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eliteserien

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

E. Osenbroch

Aalesund · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1539

B. Utvik
B. Utvik

Sarpsborg 08 FF · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1722

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kjetil André Rekdal

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Even Sel

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Aalesund: balanced profile (how Kjetil André Rekdal plays) · Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.