Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Aalesund vs Rosenborg
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Color Line Stadion
Aalesund host Rosenborg on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Aalesund 17%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 60%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aalesund €433K, Rosenborg €1.1M.
- Rosenborg's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Aalesund goals first.
- 1–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–27%
- 1–37%
- 2–27%
- 0–16%
- Other scores54%
Team Elo: Aalesund 1529 · Rosenborg 1841
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aalesund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.2 (Good) · Elo 1592
Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1872
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aalesund
15th in Eliteserien · 24 pts from 26
- 8 NovLLillestrom Eliteserien1473
- 31 OctLSandefjord Eliteserien1578
- 25 OctLSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1589
- 17 OctWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1542
- 11 OctLSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1535
Rosenborg
3rd in Eliteserien · 46 pts from 26
- 7 NovWStart Eliteserien1843
- 31 OctWFredrikstad Eliteserien1824
- 24 OctWHam-Kam Eliteserien1842
- 18 OctWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1777
- 10 OctDSandefjord Eliteserien1846
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund | 24 /26 | 27.3 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 15th |
| Rosenborg | 46 /26 | 53.8 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aalesund: balanced profile (how K. Rekdal plays) · Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays)