Primera División · Regular Season - 25
A. Italiano vs Huachipato
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida
A. Italiano host Huachipato on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: A. Italiano 46%, draw 28%, Huachipato 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: A. Italiano €489K, Huachipato €287K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. A. Italiano goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: A. Italiano 1636 · Huachipato 1546
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
A. Italiano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1515
Huachipato · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1565
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
A. Italiano
12th in Primera División · 28 pts from 23
- 13 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1619
- 5 SepWConcepción Chile Primera Division1606
- 30 AugLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1582
- 22 AugDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1629
- 16 AugDEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1595
Huachipato
10th in Primera División · 31 pts from 23
- 10 OctWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1513
- 2 OctWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1488
- 16 SepWCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1464
- 6 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1464
- 22 AugLDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1517
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 28 /23 | 37.0 | 0% | <1% | 8% | 13th |
| Huachipato | 31 /23 | 38.5 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
A. Italiano: direct (how Patricio Andrés Graff plays) · Huachipato: balanced profile (how Jaime Eusebio García Arévalo plays)