Primera División · Regular Season - 27
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
A. Italiano host Coquimbo Unido on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: A. Italiano 31%, draw 29%, Coquimbo Unido 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: A. Italiano €493K, Coquimbo Unido €755K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. A. Italiano goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: A. Italiano 1630 · Coquimbo Unido 1701
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
A. Italiano · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1499
Coquimbo Unido · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1798
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
A. Italiano
12th in Primera División · 29 pts from 24
- 23 OctDHuachipato Chile Primera Division1627
- 13 SepWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1619
- 5 SepWConcepción Chile Primera Division1606
- 30 AugLColo Colo Chile Primera Division1582
- 22 AugDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1629
Coquimbo Unido
7th in Primera División · 32 pts from 23
- 11 OctWColo Colo Chile Primera Division1727
- 16 SepLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1706
- 12 SepLCobresal Chile Primera Division1697
- 6 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1697
- 2 SepWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1718
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 29 /24 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 13th |
| Coquimbo Unido | 32 /23 | 42.0 | 0% | 8% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
A. Italiano: direct (how P. Graff plays) · Coquimbo Unido: direct (how Hernan Caputto plays)