Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · SNP Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1899 Hoffenheim 25%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 47%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1899 Hoffenheim €12.8M, Bayer Leverkusen €24.1M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Bundesliga): 1899 Hoffenheim rank #3 of 18, Bayer Leverkusen #18.
- Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1899 Hoffenheim goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: 1899 Hoffenheim 2082 · Bayer Leverkusen 2278
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2160
Bayer Leverkusen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2342
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1899 Hoffenheim
14th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 6
- 18 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga2082
- 15 OctLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2083
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
- 20 SepLSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2076
- 17 SepLOFI UEFA Europa League2107
Bayer Leverkusen
4th in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 18 OctWSC Freiburg Bundesliga2282
- 15 OctWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2248
- 10 OctWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2262
- 20 SepWRB Leipzig Bundesliga2234
- 16 SepWCelje UEFA Europa League2226
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 /6 | 43.8 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 9th |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 13 /6 | 64.5 | 3% | 87% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays) · Bayer Leverkusen: possession-based · low-block (how Carles Martínez Novell plays)