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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg

1. FC Nürnberg crest1. FC NürnbergTeam 1913
4–4
Full time
HT 0–2
VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgTeam 1913

Match story

1. FC Nürnberg · draw · VfL Wolfsburg

Before kick-off: 45% · 26% · 29%

Live chances: 1. FC Nürnberg 100%, draw 0%, VfL Wolfsburg 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 45%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%2' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 45%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%3' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 45%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%4' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 45%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%5' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 45%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%6' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%7' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%8' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%9' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%10' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%11' · 0–0 · 1. FC Nürnberg 44%, draw 27%, VfL Wolfsburg 29%12' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 26%, draw 24%, VfL Wolfsburg 50%13' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 25%, draw 24%, VfL Wolfsburg 50%14' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 25%, draw 24%, VfL Wolfsburg 50%15' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 25%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%16' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 25%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%17' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 24%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%18' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 24%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%19' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 24%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%20' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 24%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 51%21' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 23%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 52%22' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 23%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 52%23' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 23%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 52%24' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 23%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 52%25' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 22%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 52%26' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 22%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 53%27' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 22%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 53%28' · 0–1 · 1. FC Nürnberg 22%, draw 25%, VfL Wolfsburg 53%29' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 12%, VfL Wolfsburg 83%30' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 12%, VfL Wolfsburg 83%31' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 12%, VfL Wolfsburg 83%32' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 84%33' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 84%34' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 84%35' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 84%36' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 5%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 84%37' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 85%38' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 85%39' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 85%40' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 85%41' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 86%42' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 86%43' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 86%44' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 86%45' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 87%45+1' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 87%45+2' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 87%HT · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 88%46' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 88%47' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 88%48' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 88%49' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 88%50' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 89%51' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 2%, draw 8%, VfL Wolfsburg 89%52' · 0–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 2%, draw 8%, VfL Wolfsburg 89%53' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 13%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 61%54' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 13%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 61%55' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 12%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 62%56' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 12%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 62%57' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 11%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 63%58' · 1–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 11%, draw 26%, VfL Wolfsburg 63%59' · 2–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 32%, draw 44%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%60' · 2–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 31%, draw 45%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%61' · 2–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 31%, draw 46%, VfL Wolfsburg 23%62' · 2–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 31%, draw 46%, VfL Wolfsburg 23%63' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 77%, draw 19%, VfL Wolfsburg 5%64' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 77%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%65' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 77%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%66' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 78%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%67' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 78%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%68' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 78%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%69' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 79%, draw 18%, VfL Wolfsburg 4%70' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 79%, draw 17%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%71' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 80%, draw 17%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%72' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 80%, draw 17%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%73' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 80%, draw 17%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%74' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 81%, draw 16%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%75' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 81%, draw 16%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%76' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 82%, draw 16%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%77' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 82%, draw 15%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%78' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 83%, draw 15%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%79' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 83%, draw 15%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%80' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 84%, draw 14%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%81' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 85%, draw 14%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%82' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 85%, draw 13%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%83' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 86%, draw 13%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%84' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 87%, draw 12%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%85' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 87%, draw 12%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%86' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 88%, draw 11%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%87' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 89%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%88' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 90%, draw 10%, VfL Wolfsburg 1%89' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 91%, draw 9%, VfL Wolfsburg 0%90' · 3–2 · 1. FC Nürnberg 92%, draw 8%, VfL Wolfsburg 0%90+1' · 3–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 9%, draw 84%, VfL Wolfsburg 7%90+2' · 3–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 7%, draw 87%, VfL Wolfsburg 6%90+3' · 3–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 6%, draw 90%, VfL Wolfsburg 5%90+4' · 3–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 4%, draw 92%, VfL Wolfsburg 3%90+5' · 3–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 3%, draw 95%, VfL Wolfsburg 2%90+6' · 4–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 99%, draw 1%, VfL Wolfsburg 0%90+7' · 4–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 100%, draw 0%, VfL Wolfsburg 0%90+8' · 4–3 · 1. FC Nürnberg 100%, draw 0%, VfL Wolfsburg 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave 1. FC Nürnberg 45% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 12'VfL Wolfsburg:Hauke Wahl 1994 −4*
  2. 20'1. FC Nürnberg:Mohamed Alì Zoma 2026 −9*
  3. 29'VfL Wolfsburg:Muhammed Damar 1883 +3* assist Vinicius de Souza Costa 2035 −6*
  4. 52'1. FC Nürnberg:Piet Scobel 1775 −8* assist Javier Fernández 2149 −11*
  5. 59'1. FC Nürnberg:Piet Scobel 1775 −8* assist Rayan Ghrieb 1662 −8*
  6. 62'VfL Wolfsburg:Elvis Rexhbecaj 2048 −8* for Yannick Gerhardt 1875 −9*
  7. 62'VfL Wolfsburg:Hauke Wahl 1994 −4*
  8. 63'1. FC Nürnberg:Mohamed Alì Zoma 2026 −9* assist Eric Porstner 1735 −8*
  9. 63'1. FC Nürnberg:Rafael Lubach 1764 −8* for Rayan Ghrieb 1662 −8*
  10. 63'1. FC Nürnberg:Giannis Masouras 1859 −9* for Tim janisch 1798 −8*
  11. 75'VfL Wolfsburg:Alessio Besio 1720 −5* for Alexander Bernhardsson 1983 +2
  12. 75'VfL Wolfsburg:Kento Shiogai 1596 −6* for Fabian Reese 1966 −6*
  13. 76'VfL Wolfsburg:Mathys Angély 1648 −2*
  14. 79'VfL Wolfsburg:Maximilian Arnold 1903 −11* for Vinicius de Souza Costa 2035 −6*
  15. 81'1. FC Nürnberg:William Bøving 1988 −8* for Julian Justvan 1985 −9*
  16. 81'1. FC Nürnberg:andrea ceresoli for Eric Porstner 1735 −8*
  17. 86'VfL Wolfsburg:Kento Shiogai 1596 −6*
  18. 87'1. FC Nürnberg:Alexios Kalogeropoulos 1898 −8*
  19. 90+1'VfL Wolfsburg:Alessio Besio 1720 −5*
  20. 90+6'1. FC Nürnberg:Giannis Masouras 1859 −9* assist Adam Markhiev 2125 −3
  21. 90+9'VfL Wolfsburg:Alessio Besio 1720 −5*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GJ. Reichert2064−8*
DT. Janisch1798−8*
DA. Kalogeropoulos1898−8*
DF. Otto1963−8*
DE. Porstner1735−8*
MA. Marhiev2125−3
MJ. Fernandez2149−11*
MJ. Justvan1985−9*
MR. Ghrieb1662−8*
MM. Zoma2026−9*
FP. Scobel1775−8*
CM. Klose2017−8*
GJ. Zieliński1680−2*
DK. Fischer1986−5*
DH. Wahl1994−4*
DM. Angely1648−2*
DJ. Mæhle21700
MY. Gerhardt1875−9*
MVinicius Souza2035−6*
MM. Damar1883+3*
FA. Bernhardsson1983+2
FR. Glatzel1830−7*
FF. Reese1966−6*
CTobias Strobl18350*
Before kick-off: 45% · 26% · 29%(1. FC Nürnberg · draw · VfL Wolfsburg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 4–4 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: 1. FC Nürnberg €1.9M, VfL Wolfsburg €3.4M.
  • Home advantage made 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
  • 2. Bundesliga: J. Reichert was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2072).
  • 2. Bundesliga: J. Mæhle was the highest-rated defender (2170).
  • Style contrast in possession (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Nürnberg ranked #3 of 18, VfL Wolfsburg #15.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

1. FC Nürnberg

2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 16 pts from 6

  • 19 SepWKarlsruher SC 1933
  • 11 SepWHannover 96 1908
  • 5 SepDHolstein Kiel 1916
  • 29 AugWArminia Bielefeld 1857
  • 22 AugDFC Viktoria Köln 1866

VfL Wolfsburg

5th in 2. Bundesliga · 11 pts from 6

  • 18 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 1880
  • 12 SepLFC St. Pauli 1880
  • 5 SepDEnergie Cottbus 1926
  • 29 AugWKarlsruher SC 1850
  • 24 AugDAltglienicke 1875

Season outlook

From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
1. FC Nürnberg16 /660.227%81%0%1st
VfL Wolfsburg11 /658.922%77%<1%2nd
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Wolfsburg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 2. Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Marhiev
A. Marhiev

1. FC Nürnberg · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2128

Vinicius Souza
Vinicius Souza

VfL Wolfsburg · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2041

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Miroslav Klose

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Tobias Strobl

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays) · VfL Wolfsburg: balanced profile (how Tobias Strobl plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.