2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
1. FC Nürnberg host SV Darmstadt 98 on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Nürnberg 53%, draw 26%, SV Darmstadt 98 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Nürnberg €2.0M, SV Darmstadt 98 €1.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 2. Bundesliga matchday 11: 115 points.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (2148).
- Style contrast in dribbling (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Nürnberg rank #1 of 18, SV Darmstadt 98 #15.
- 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Nürnberg goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: 1. FC Nürnberg 1877 · SV Darmstadt 98 1762
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

1. FC Nürnberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2124

SV Darmstadt 98 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1791
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 18 pts from 8
- 16 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1927
- 10 OctDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1935
- 19 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1933
- 11 SepWHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1908
- 5 SepDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1916
SV Darmstadt 98
17th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 8
- 18 OctLKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1801
- 10 OctWEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1773
- 18 SepLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
- 11 SepWArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1751
- 5 SepL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1778
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 18 /8 | 58.9 | 20% | 78% | 0% | 2nd |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 /8 | 40.7 | <1% | 2% | 25% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays) · SV Darmstadt 98: balanced profile (how Florian Kohfeldt plays)