2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
1. FC Nürnberg host 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Nürnberg 48%, draw 27%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Nürnberg €1.8M, 1. FC Kaiserslautern €1.4M.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (2148).
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Nürnberg goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: 1. FC Nürnberg 1879 · 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1822
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Nürnberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2124
1. FC Kaiserslautern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1883
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 18 pts from 8
- 16 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1927
- 10 OctDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1935
- 19 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1933
- 11 SepWHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1908
- 5 SepDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1916
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4th in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 8
- 17 OctWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1771
- 9 OctD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1870
- 19 SepWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1750
- 12 SepL1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1793
- 5 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1829
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 18 /8 | 59.5 | 25% | 81% | 0% | 1st |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 15 /8 | 52.7 | 4% | 40% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays) · 1. FC Kaiserslautern: balanced profile (how Torsten Lieberknecht plays)