2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg
1. FC Magdeburg host Karlsruher SC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Magdeburg 44%, draw 28%, Karlsruher SC 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Magdeburg €1.0M, Karlsruher SC €1.1M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Magdeburg rank #2 of 18, Karlsruher SC #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Magdeburg goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: 1. FC Magdeburg 1780 · Karlsruher SC 1771
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Magdeburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1907
Karlsruher SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1897
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Magdeburg
6th in 2. Bundesliga · 13 pts from 8
- 18 OctLDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1832
- 10 OctWHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1791
- 18 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1807
- 12 SepW1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1766
- 6 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1782
Karlsruher SC
13th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1700
- 11 OctLFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1754
- 19 SepL1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1759
- 13 SepLEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1753
- 4 SepDHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1742
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 13 /8 | 47.3 | 1% | 14% | 4% | 8th |
| Karlsruher SC | 8 /8 | 42.7 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Magdeburg: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Petrik Sander plays) · Karlsruher SC: balanced profile (how Maximilian Senft plays)