2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 Hannover 96
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Avnet Arena, Magdeburg
1. FC MagdeburgTeam 1795
Hannover 96Team 1847Match story
1. FC Magdeburg · draw · Hannover 96Before kick-off: 40% · 27% · 33%
Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave 1. FC Magdeburg 40% to win: they did.
- Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 1856 +61*3'
1. FC Magdeburg:Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 1856 +61* - 18'Emir Sahiti 1868 −12*
Hannover 96:Emir Sahiti 1868 −12* - Emmanuel Iyoha 1920 +45*30'
1. FC Magdeburg:Emmanuel Iyoha 1920 +45* - 45'Husseyn Chakroun 1746 −8* for Emir Sahiti 1868 −12*
Hannover 96:Husseyn Chakroun 1746 −8* for Emir Sahiti 1868 −12* - 45'Waniss Taibi 1773 −8* for Franz Roggow 1708 −8*
Hannover 96:Waniss Taibi 1773 −8* for Franz Roggow 1708 −8* - Daniel Heber 1760 −1* for Tobias Müller 1807 +6*60'
1. FC Magdeburg:Daniel Heber 1760 −1* for Tobias Müller 1807 +6* - Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +6662'
1. FC Magdeburg:Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +66 - 62'Boris Tomiak 1884 −19*
Hannover 96:Boris Tomiak 1884 −19* - 64'Benedikt Pichler 1754 −9* for Benjamin Källman 1853 −5
Hannover 96:Benedikt Pichler 1754 −9* for Benjamin Källman 1853 −5 - 71'Virgil Ghiță 1895 −3 for Jean Hugonet 1745 −8*
Hannover 96:Virgil Ghiță 1895 −3 for Jean Hugonet 1745 −8* - Felipe Chávez 2030 −2* for Luka Hyryläinen 1747 +18*73'
1. FC Magdeburg:Felipe Chávez 2030 −2* for Luka Hyryläinen 1747 +18* - 73'Taycan Etcibasi 1437 −8* for Kolja Oudenne 1811 −8*
Hannover 96:Taycan Etcibasi 1437 −8* for Kolja Oudenne 1811 −8* - Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +66 assist Felipe Chávez 2030 −2*86'
1. FC Magdeburg:Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +66 assist Felipe Chávez 2030 −2* - Richmond Tachie 1689 −7* for Emmanuel Iyoha 1920 +45*87'
1. FC Magdeburg:Richmond Tachie 1689 −7* for Emmanuel Iyoha 1920 +45* - Roko Simic 1764 −7* for Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +6688'
1. FC Magdeburg:Roko Simic 1764 −7* for Mateusz Zukowski 1874 +66 - Paul Jäckel 1711 −8* for Pierre Nadjombe 1808 +53*88'
1. FC Magdeburg:Paul Jäckel 1711 −8* for Pierre Nadjombe 1808 +53*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 27% · 33%(1. FC Magdeburg · draw · Hannover 96)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–0 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: 1. FC Magdeburg €989K, Hannover 96 €1.5M.
- Home advantage made 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Hannover 96's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Magdeburg
6th in 2. Bundesliga · 10 pts from 6
- 18 SepDSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1807
- 12 SepW1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1766
- 6 SepLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1782
- 30 AugWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1761
- 15 AugWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1705
Hannover 96
11th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 6
- 20 SepWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1831
- 11 SepL1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 4 SepDKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1847
- 30 AugWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1798
- 16 AugLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1817
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 /6 | 48.4 | 1% | 18% | 3% | 6th |
| Hannover 96 | 7 /6 | 49.1 | 1% | 21% | 3% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

1. FC Magdeburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1874

Hannover 96 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1982
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Magdeburg: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Petrik Sander plays) · Hannover 96: balanced profile (how Sandro Wagner plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.