Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
1. FC Köln host FC Schalke 04 on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Köln 39%, draw 29%, FC Schalke 04 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Köln €4.9M, FC Schalke 04 €2.1M.
- Home advantage makes 1. FC Köln the favourite here: it adds 4 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of FC Schalke 04's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Köln goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: 1. FC Köln 1952 · FC Schalke 04 1955
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Köln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1897
FC Schalke 04 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1997
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Köln
12th in Bundesliga · 7 pts from 6
- 16 OctLEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga1936
- 11 OctWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga1919
- 19 SepLHamburger SV Bundesliga1946
- 12 SepDWerder Bremen Bundesliga1946
- 4 SepLVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga1956
FC Schalke 04
15th in Bundesliga · 5 pts from 6
- 17 OctLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1925
- 11 OctLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1992
- 20 SepDSV Elversberg Bundesliga1948
- 11 SepWUnion Berlin Bundesliga1973
- 5 SepDBayern München Bundesliga1957
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 7 /6 | 36.9 | 0% | <1% | 27% | 15th |
| FC Schalke 04 | 5 /6 | 35.3 | 0% | <1% | 36% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Köln: balanced profile (how Rene Wagner plays) · FC Schalke 04: balanced profile (how Miron Muslić plays)