Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
1. FC KölnTeam 1851
Borussia MönchengladbachTeam 1906Match story
1. FC Köln · draw · Borussia MönchengladbachBefore kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Joe Scally 39'
We gave Borussia Mönchengladbach 36% to win: 1. FC Köln won.
- Marius Bülter 1832 +8*13'
1. FC Köln:Marius Bülter 1832 +8* - 24'Jan Leszczynski 1538 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Jan Leszczynski 1538 −8* - Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 2109 +2226'
1. FC Köln:Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 2109 +22 - 39'Joe Scally 2036 −43*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Joe Scally 2036 −43* - Tom Krauß 1980 −1* for Ellyes Skhiri 1952 +9*45'
1. FC Köln:Tom Krauß 1980 −1* for Ellyes Skhiri 1952 +9* - 64'Shuto Machino 1912 −8* for Isac Lidberg 1809 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Shuto Machino 1912 −8* for Isac Lidberg 1809 −8* - 64'Wael Mohya 1812 −8* for Robin Hack 1947 −12*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Wael Mohya 1812 −8* for Robin Hack 1947 −12* - Said El Mala 1897 +44 assist Linton Maina 1958 +33*67'
1. FC Köln:Said El Mala 1897 +44 assist Linton Maina 1958 +33* - 68'Zento Uno 1727 −8* for Florian Neuhaus 1894 −10*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Zento Uno 1727 −8* for Florian Neuhaus 1894 −10* - Jan Thielmann 2015 −6* for Said El Mala 1897 +4478'
1. FC Köln:Jan Thielmann 2015 −6* for Said El Mala 1897 +44 - Joel Schmied 1902 −6* for Luka Lochoshvili 1971 +1278'
1. FC Köln:Joel Schmied 1902 −6* for Luka Lochoshvili 1971 +12 - 80'Fritz Fleck 1733 −8* for Daiki Hashioka 1817 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Fritz Fleck 1733 −8* for Daiki Hashioka 1817 −8* - 80'Fabio Cristian Chiarodia 1569 −8* for Jan Leszczynski 1538 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Fabio Cristian Chiarodia 1569 −8* for Jan Leszczynski 1538 −8* - 81'Zento Uno 1727 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Zento Uno 1727 −8* - Imad Rondić 1669 −7* for Mikey Moore 1998 +4*85'
1. FC Köln:Imad Rondić 1669 −7* for Mikey Moore 1998 +4* - Luca Waldschmidt 1795 −9* for Linton Maina 1958 +33*90+2'
1. FC Köln:Luca Waldschmidt 1795 −9* for Linton Maina 1958 +33* - 90+6'Shuto Machino 1912 −8*
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Shuto Machino 1912 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(1. FC Köln · draw · Borussia Mönchengladbach)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: 1. FC Köln €6.0M, Borussia Mönchengladbach €4.4M.
- 1. FC Köln were without 2 expected starters: A. Castro-Montes (2019) and T. Dallinga (2137).
- Borussia Mönchengladbach were without 1 expected starter: F. Honorat (1994).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Köln
14th in Bundesliga · 4 pts from 4
- 19 SepLHamburger SV Bundesliga1946
- 12 SepDWerder Bremen Bundesliga1946
- 4 SepLVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga1956
- 29 AugW1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga1874
- 24 AugWWürzburger Kickers Germany DFB Pokal1863
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 0 pts from 4
- 19 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1916
- 12 SepLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1975
- 5 SepLSV Elversberg Bundesliga1983
- 29 AugLRB Leipzig Bundesliga1976
- 23 AugWSchott Mainz Germany DFB Pokal1917
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 4 /4 | 35.5 | 0% | 0% | 35% | 14th |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 /4 | 30.8 | 0% | 0% | 64% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

1. FC Köln · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 2087

Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2042
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Köln: balanced profile (how Rene Wagner plays) · Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how Jan-Moritz Lichte plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.