2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Hertha BSC
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Fritz Walter Stadion, Kaiserslautern
1. FC Kaiserslautern host Hertha BSC on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 41%, draw 29%, Hertha BSC 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Kaiserslautern €1.4M, Hertha BSC €1.7M.
- Home advantage makes 1. FC Kaiserslautern the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Hertha BSC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1822 · Hertha BSC 1859
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Kaiserslautern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1883
Hertha BSC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2018
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4th in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 8
- 17 OctWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1771
- 9 OctD1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1870
- 19 SepWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1750
- 12 SepL1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1793
- 5 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1829
Hertha BSC
1st in 2. Bundesliga · 22 pts from 8
- 16 OctDHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1904
- 11 OctWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1897
- 19 SepWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1880
- 13 SepWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1845
- 6 SepW1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1843
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 15 /8 | 52.7 | 4% | 40% | 1% | 4th |
| Hertha BSC | 22 /8 | 61.6 | 34% | 87% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Kaiserslautern: balanced profile (how Torsten Lieberknecht plays) · Hertha BSC: balanced profile (how Stefan Leitl plays)