2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Fritz Walter Stadion, Kaiserslautern
1. FC Kaiserslautern host Dynamo Dresden on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 54%, draw 25%, Dynamo Dresden 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Kaiserslautern €1.7M, Dynamo Dresden €1.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Kaiserslautern goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–011%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1856 · Dynamo Dresden 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Kaiserslautern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1895
Dynamo Dresden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1763
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 21 pts from 11
- 7 NovWVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1851
- 31 OctLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1856
- 28 OctWHannover 96 Germany DFB Pokal1785
- 24 OctW1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1796
- 17 OctWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
Dynamo Dresden
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 11 pts from 11
- 6 NovWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1728
- 1 NovLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1736
- 28 OctWFC Schalke 04 Germany DFB Pokal1726
- 25 OctLHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1739
- 18 OctW1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1709
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 21 /11 | 56.3 | 4% | 54% | 0% | 4th |
| Dynamo Dresden | 11 /11 | 38.1 | 0% | <1% | 32% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Kaiserslautern: balanced profile (how Torsten Lieberknecht plays) · Dynamo Dresden: balanced profile (how Thomas Stamm plays)