2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11
1. FC Heidenheim vs Hannover 96
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim host Hannover 96 on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 41%, draw 29%, Hannover 96 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Heidenheim €1.9M, Hannover 96 €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Heidenheim rank #16 of 18, Hannover 96 #3.
- All 11 of Hannover 96's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Heidenheim goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 1814 · Hannover 96 1843
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

1. FC Heidenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1897

Hannover 96 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1947
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Heidenheim
5th in 2. Bundesliga · 14 pts from 8
- 17 OctLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1809
- 9 OctD1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1812
- 20 SepDArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 13 SepWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1826
- 6 SepWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1819
Hannover 96
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 8
- 17 OctDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1835
- 10 OctL1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1848
- 20 SepWVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1831
- 11 SepL1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 4 SepDKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1847
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 14 /8 | 51.0 | 2% | 29% | 1% | 5th |
| Hannover 96 | 8 /8 | 47.2 | 1% | 14% | 5% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays) · Hannover 96: balanced profile (how Sandro Wagner plays)