2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
1. FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim host Energie Cottbus on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 50%, draw 27%, Energie Cottbus 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Heidenheim €1.9M, Energie Cottbus €667K.
- Style contrast in attacking (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Heidenheim rank #15 of 18, Energie Cottbus #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Heidenheim goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 1814 · Energie Cottbus 1736
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Heidenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1897
Energie Cottbus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1622
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Heidenheim
5th in 2. Bundesliga · 14 pts from 8
- 17 OctLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1809
- 9 OctD1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1812
- 20 SepDArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 13 SepWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1826
- 6 SepWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1819
Energie Cottbus
9th in 2. Bundesliga · 9 pts from 8
- 16 OctD1. FC Nürnberg Germany 2 Bundesliga1750
- 10 OctLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1744
- 20 SepDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1772
- 13 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1730
- 5 SepDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1748
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 14 /8 | 51.1 | 3% | 30% | 1% | 5th |
| Energie Cottbus | 9 /8 | 41.8 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays) · Energie Cottbus: balanced profile (how Claus-Dieter Wollitz plays)