2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13
1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim host 1. FC Nürnberg on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 33%, draw 29%, 1. FC Nürnberg 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: 1. FC Heidenheim €1.4M, 1. FC Nürnberg €1.6M.
- 2. Bundesliga: J. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (2144).
- Style contrast in possession (2. Bundesliga): 1. FC Heidenheim rank #17 of 18, 1. FC Nürnberg #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. 1. FC Heidenheim goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–28%
- 2–18%
- 0–16%
- 1–06%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: 1. FC Heidenheim 1796 · 1. FC Nürnberg 1929
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Heidenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1762
1. FC Nürnberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2136
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Heidenheim
7th in 2. Bundesliga · 16 pts from 11
- 8 NovDHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1800
- 31 OctLKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1791
- 24 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1797
- 17 OctLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1805
- 9 OctD1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1808
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd in 2. Bundesliga · 24 pts from 11
- 7 NovWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1916
- 1 NovWFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1889
- 28 OctLBayer Leverkusen Germany DFB Pokal1928
- 24 OctL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1896
- 16 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1921
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 16 /11 | 46.7 | <1% | 7% | 3% | 7th |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 24 /11 | 61.9 | 17% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays) · 1. FC Nürnberg: dribble-heavy (how Miroslav Klose plays)