2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
1. FC Heidenheim 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Voith-Arena, Heidenheim
1. FC HeidenheimTeam 17891. FC KaiserslauternTeam 1831We gave 1. FC Heidenheim 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 28% · 32%(1. FC Heidenheim · draw · 1. FC Kaiserslautern)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: 1. FC Heidenheim €1.6M, 1. FC Kaiserslautern €1.5M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
1. FC Heidenheim
3rd in 2. Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 20 SepDArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1830
- 13 SepWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1826
- 6 SepWSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1819
- 29 AugWDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1780
- 23 AugLSSV Jeddeloh Germany DFB Pokal1770
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5th in 2. Bundesliga · 11 pts from 6
- 19 SepWEintracht Braunschweig Germany 2 Bundesliga1750
- 12 SepL1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1793
- 5 SepWSV Darmstadt 98 Germany 2 Bundesliga1829
- 30 AugWFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1791
- 21 AugDWaldhof Mannheim Germany DFB Pokal1817
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 13 /6 | 53.4 | 6% | 42% | <1% | 5th |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 /6 | 50.7 | 3% | 28% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
1. FC Heidenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1936
1. FC Kaiserslautern · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1867
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays) · 1. FC Kaiserslautern: balanced profile (how Torsten Lieberknecht plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.