🇧🇬 First League
Bulgaria · 503 rated players
Avg Top 200: 1325
Median: 1116
Mean: 1128
Top 25 Players
Coaches
Season Simulation
5,000Monte-Carlo runs of our v6 player-Elo model · 2026 season
Provisional — the 2026season hasn't kicked off yet; squads are projected from last season's line-ups.
| # | Club | Team Elo | Pld | Title % | Pred Pts | Cur Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 1461.0 | 0 | 44.4 | 46.3 | 0 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 1427.0 | 0 | 26.0 | 43.7 | 0 |
| 3 | Levski Sofia | 1376.0 | 0 | 16.7 | 41.5 | 0 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 1286.0 | 0 | 5.9 | 37.4 | 0 |
| 5 | Cherno More Varna | 1293.0 | 0 | 3.7 | 36.1 | 0 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 1236.0 | 0 | 1.5 | 33.5 | 0 |
| 7 | Arda Kardzhali | 1204.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 31.5 | 0 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1186.0 | 0 | 0.4 | 30.4 | 0 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 1185.0 | 0 | 0.5 | 29.7 | 0 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1136.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 27.2 | 0 |
| 11 | Septemvri Sofia | 1110.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 26.1 | 0 |
| 12 | Slavia Sofia | 1049.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 23.3 | 0 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 983.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 19.4 | 0 |
Finishing-position probabilities
Each row sums to ~100%. Columns are final league positions (1 = champion).
| Club | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 44 | 26 | 14 | 8 | |||||||||
| CSKA Sofia | 26 | 26 | 19 | 13 | 7 | ||||||||
| Levski Sofia | 17 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 7 | |||||||
| CSKA 1948 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 5 | ||||
| Cherno More Varna | 7 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | |||||
| Botev Plovdiv | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 7 | |||||
| Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | |||||
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 7 | ||||
| Botev Vratsa | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 7 | ||||
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 6 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 8 | |||||
| Septemvri Sofia | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 11 | ||||||
| Slavia Sofia | 6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 25 | 21 | |||||||
| Spartak Varna | 7 | 12 | 22 | 51 |